Prediction of electoral activity based on reports of respondents

Authors

Keywords:

electoral activity, prediction, accurateness, prediction criterium

Abstract

The article is devoted to the problem of the adequate prediction of voters` activity at different levels` elections. The author investigates the correlation between voters` readiness and actual voters` activity. He concludes that the answer to the question ―Will you take part in elections‖ can reveal basically the commitment of respondents to the social norm of participation in elections but it is not a single criterium for predicting electoral behavior.

Author Biography

Vladimir B. Zvonovsky, Samara State University of Economics

  • Samara State University of Economics, Samara, Russia
    • Dr. Sci. (Soc.), Professor of the Department of Sociology and Psychology

Downloads

Published

2011-03-01

How to Cite

Zvonovsky, V. B. (2011). Prediction of electoral activity based on reports of respondents. Monitoring of Public Opinion: Economic and Social Changes, (2), 5–15. Retrieved from https://www.monitoringjournal.ru/index.php/monitoring/article/view/3161

Issue

No. 2 (2011)

Section

THEORY AND METHODOLOGY

License

Copyright (c) 2025 Monitoring of Public Opinion: Economic and Social Changes

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.