Crisis Volatility of Human Capital and Student Achievement in Russia: Evidence from International Education Research

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14515/monitoring.2025.4.2758

Keywords:

human capital, family academic resources, cultural capital, school students’ achievement, literacy measurement, PISA, PIAAC, adult competences, Russian education, social reproduction

Abstract

In comparative analysis of data from international PISA, TIMSS and PIRLS programs there is a stable pattern of achievement distribution: Russian students from families with high levels of cultural capital (measured via the “number of books at home” indicator) have lower competence than students from other European countries, while Russian students from families with lower levels of cultural capital demonstrate equal or even higher levels of competence. There was an attempt in literature to explain this result through the differences in national school curriculums. In this paper we pay attention to the human and cultural capital of school students’ parents in attempt to develop a different interpretative strategy. In the article PIAAC and PISA data is used to compare conditionally identified “parents” and “children” among residents of Russia, the Czech Republic, Sweden, Poland, Estonia and Finland.

Although human capital in a country in general depend on the state of the school system, it’s increase and depreciation not limited to it. In this regard, the reproduction of human capital is considered to be a fundamental societal process. The first post-Soviet generation (from which the parents of today's school students mainly come) got education and entered the labor market in the conditions of crisis Russia of 1990s. The article shows that, firstly, the profiles of measured competence among school students and adults (“parents”) match in Russia and in a number of other countries. Secondly, a cohort effect was found in the distributions of adult competences in Russia. This effect consists in a decrease in measured competence of the “crisis” post-Soviet cohort of the 1990s both against the background of the previous “Soviet” cohort and against the background of the same cohorts in other countries. It is quite possible that the decrease in the level of real incorporated human capital (as opposed to possession of formal diplomas) is reflected in the achievements of school students. Thirdly, difficulties were discovered with the conversion of human capital into other types of capital in Russia. This result is related to the characteristics of the labor market in Russia, as well as internal heterogeneity of the group of professionals in the country, which also contributes to the explanation of the Russian low achievement paradox.

Author Biographies

Dmitry S. Popov, Institute of Sociology of FCTAS RAS

  • Institute of Sociology of FCTAS RAS, Moscow, Russia
    • Cand.  Sci. (Soc.), Leading Researcher

Natalia S. Voronina, Institute of Sociology of FCTAS RAS

  • Institute of Sociology of FCTAS RAS, Moscow, Russia
    • Cand.  Sci. (Soc.), Leading Researcher

References

Гимпельсон В.Е. Возраст и заработная плата: стилизованные факты и российские особенности // Экономический журнал ВШЭ. 2019. Т. 23. № 2. С. 185-237. https://doi.org/10.17323/1813-8691-2019-23-2-185-237.

Gimpelson V.E. (2019) Age and Wages: Stylized Facts and Russian Characteristics. HSE Economic Journal. Vol. 23. No. 2. P. 185-237. https://doi.org/10.17323/1813-8691-2019-23-2-185-237. (In Russ.)

Долгая О.И., Тагунова И.А. Домашняя работа в школе: опыт разных стран // Школьные технологии. 2020. № 2. C. 125—132.

Dolgaya O.I., Tagunova I.A. (2020). Homework in School: Experiences from Different Countries. School Technologies. No. 2. P. 125—132. (In Russ.)

Капелюшников Р.И. (2021) Отдача от образования в России: ниже некуда? // Вопросы экономики. 2021. № 8. С. 37-68. https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2021-8-37-68.

Kapelyushnikov R.I. (2021) Return on Education in Russia: Lower Than Ever? Voprosy Ekonomiki. No. 8. P. 37-68. https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2021-8-37-68. (In Russ.)

Капелюшников Р.И. Человеческий капитал России: эволюция и структурные особенности // Вестник общественного мнения. Данные. Анализ. Дискуссии. 2005. № 4. С. 46-54.

Kapelyushnikov R.I. (2005) Human Capital in Russia: Evolution and Structural Features. The Russian Public Opinion Herald. Data. Analysis. Discussions. No. 4. P. 46-54. (In Russ.)

Кузьмина Ю. В., Попов Д. С. Функциональная грамотность взрослых и их включенность в общество в России // Социологические исследования. 2015. № 7. C. 48—57.

Kuzmina Yu.V., Popov D.S. (2015) Functional Literacy of Adults and Their Social Participation in Russia. Sociological Studies. No. 7. P. 48-57. (In Russ.)

Лукьянова А. Л. Отдача от образования: что показывает мета-анализ // Экономический журнал ВШЭ. 2010. № 3. С. 326—348.

Lukyanova A.L. (2010) Return on Education: What a Meta-Analysis Does Show? HSE Economic Journal. No. 3. P. 326-348. (In Russ.)

Попов Д. С., Стрельникова А. В. Работа, образование и грамотность в России: проблема неконсистентности // Журнал исследований социальной политики. 2017. Т. 15. № 2. С. 267—280. https://doi.org/10.17323/727-0634-2017-15-2-267-280.

Popov D.S., Strelnikova A.V. (2017) Work, Education and Literacy in Russia: the Problem of Inconsistency. The Journal of Social Policy Studies. Vol. 15. No. 2. P. 267-280. https://doi.org/10.17323/727-0634-2017-15-2-267-280. (In Russ.)

Тихонова Н. Е., Каравай А. В. Человеческий капитал российских рабочих: общее состояние и специфические особенности // Мир России: Социология, этнология. 2017. T. 26. № 3. C. 6—35. https://doi.org/10.17323/1811-038Х-2017-26-3-6-35.

Tihonova N. E., Karavaj A. V. (2017) Human Сapital of Russian Workers: General Condition and Specific Features. World of Russia: Sociology, Ethnology. Vol. 26. No. 3. P. 6—35. https://doi.org/10.17323/1811-038H-2017-26-3-6-35. (In Russ.)

Тихонова Н.Е., Латов Ю.В., Каравай А.В., Латова Н.В. Слободенюк Е.Д. Человеческий капитал российских профессионалов: состояние, динамика, факторы / Отв. ред. Н. Е. Тихонова, Ю. В. Латов. М.: ФНИСЦ РАН, 2023. https://doi.org/10.19181/monogr.978-5-89697-420-8.202.

Tikhonova N.E., Latov Yu.V., Karavai A.V., Latova N.V., Slobodenyuk E.D. (2023) Human Capital of Russian Professionals: Status, Dynamics, Factors. Moscow: FNISC RAS. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.19181/monogr.978-5-89697-420-8.202.

Angrist N., S. Djankov P. K. Goldberg P.K., Patrinos H.A. (2019) Measuring Human Capital. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper. No. 8742. P. 1-49. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/31280.

Bautier E., Rayou P. (2007) What PISA Really Evaluates: Literacy or Students’ Universes of Reference? Educational Change. No. 8. P. 359—364. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10833-007-9043-9.

Becker G. (1964) Human Capital: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis with Special Reference to Education. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press.

Bourdieu P. (1986) The Forms of Capital. In: Handbook of Theory of Research for the Sociology of Education. Vol. 244. P. 241—258.

Carnoy M., Khavenson T., Ivanova A. (2015) Using TIMSS and PISA Results to Inform Educational Policy: A Study of Russia and its Neighbors. Compare. A Journal of Comparative and International Education. Vol. 45. No. 2. P. 248—271. https://doi.org/10.1080/03057925.2013.855002.

Coleman J. S. (1966) United States & National Center for Education Statistics. Equality of Educational Opportunity [Summary Report]. Washington: U.S. Dept. of Health, Education, and Welfare, Office of Education.

Desjardins R., Warnke A. (2012) Ageing and Skills: a Review and Analysis of Skill Gain and Skill Loss Over the Lifespan and Over Time. OECD Education Working Paper. No. 72. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1781/5k9csvw87ckh-en.

Égert B., De La Maisonneuve C., Turner D. (2022) A New Macroeconomic Measure of Human Capital Exploiting PISA and PIAAC: Linking Education Policies to Productivity. OECD Economics Department Working Papers. No. 1709. P. 1-32. https://dx.doi.org/10.1787/a1046e2e-en.

Feniger Y., Lefstein A. (2014) How Not to Reason with PISA data: An Ironic Investigation. Journal of Education Policy. Vol. 29. No. 6. P. 845-855. https://doi.org/10.1080/02680939.2014.892156.

Fuchs T., Woessmann L. (2007) What Accounts for International Differences in Student Performance? A Re-examination Using PISA Data. Empirical Economics. Vol. 32. No. 2-3. P. 433—464. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-006-0087-0.

Goldin C. (2019) Human Capital. In: Diebolt C., Haupert M. (ed.) Handbook of Cliometrics 2nd ed. Cham: Springer International Publishing. P. 147-177. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-00181-0.

Goldstein H. (2017) Measurement and Evaluation Issues With PISA. In: The PISA Effect on Global Educational Governance. New York: Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315440521-4.

Green D.A., Riddell W.C. (2013): Ageing and Literacy Skills: Evidence from Canada, Norway and the United States. Labour Economics. No. 22. P. 16-29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.2012.08.011.

Hanushek E. A. (2016) What Matters for Achievement: Updating Coleman on the Influence of Families and Schools. Education Next. Vol. 16. No. 2. P. 22–30.

Hanushek E.A., Schwerdt G., Wiederhold S., Woessmann L. (2015) Returns to Skills Around the World: Evidence from PIAAC. European Economic Review. Vol. 73. P. 103—130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2014.10.006.

Hertzog C., Kramer A.F., Wilson R.S., Lindenberger U. (2009) Enrichment Effects on Adult Cognitive Development. Psychological Science in the Public Interest. Vol. 9. No. 1. P. 1-65. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6053.2009.01034.x.

Kiker B. F. (1966) The Historical Roots of the Concept of Human Capital. Journal of Political Economy. Vol. 74. No. 5. P. 481-499. https://doi.org/10.1086/259201.

Lundetre K., Sulkunen S., Gabrielsen E., Malin A. (2014) A Comparison of PIAAC and PISA Results 2014. In: Malin A. (eds.) Associations Between Age and Cognitive Foundation Skills in the Nordic Countries: A Closer Look at the Data. University of Jyvaskyla: The Finnish Institute for Educational Research. P. 1-18.

Martins L., Veiga P. (2010) Do Inequalities in Parents Education Play an Important Role in PISA Students Mathematics Achievement Test Score Disparities? Economics of Education Review. Vol. 29. No. 6.P. 1016-1033. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2010.05.001.

Mincer J. (1958) Investment in Human Capital and Personal Income Distribution. Journal of Political Economy. Vol. 66. No. 4. P. 281—302.

Nahuelquin F. M., Orellana R. I., Kuperman V. (2025) The Impact of Formal Education on Literacy and Numeracy Skills in Chilean Adults: A Comparative Analysis with Latin American Counterparts. Frontiers Education. No. 9. P. 1-14. https://doi.org/10.3389/feduc.2024.1466947.

OECD (1995) Literacy, Economy and Society: Results of the First International Adult Literacy Survey. Catalogue no. 89-545-XPE. Paris: OECD Publishing; Ottawa: Minister of Industry.

OECD (2000) Literacy in the Information Age: Final Report of the International Literacy Study. Paris: OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264181762-en.

OECD (2012) Literacy, Numeracy and Problem Solving in Technology-Rich Environments — Framework for the OECD Survey of Adult Skills. Paris: OECD Publishing.

OECD (2013a) OECD Skills Outlook 2013. First Results from the Survey of Adult Skills. Paris: OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264204256-en.

OECD (2013b) Technical Report of the Survey of Adult Skills (PIAAC). Paris: OECD Publishing.

Reder S. (2009). The Development of Adult Literacy and Numeracy in Adult Life. In: Reder S., Bynner J. (eds.) Tracking Adult Literacy and Numeracy Skills: Findings from Longitudinal Research. New York: Routledge. P. 1-17.

Ryder N. (1965) The Cohort as a Concept in the Study of Social Change. American Sociological Review. Vol. 30. No. 6. P. 843—861.

Sabirianova K.Z. (2002) The Great Human Capital Reallocation: A Study of Occupational Mobility in Transitional Russia. Journal of Comparative Economics. Vol. 30. No. 1. P. 191-217 https://doi.org/10.1006/jcec.2001.1760.

Schleicher A. (2008) PIAAC: A New Strategy for Assessing Adult Competencies. International Review of Education. Vol. 54. No. 5—6. P. 627-650. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11159-008-9105-0.

Schultz T. W. (1961) Investment in Human Capital. The American Economic Review. No. 51. P. 1-17.

Tan C. Y. (2020) Family Cultural Capital and Student Achievement: Theoretical Insights from PISA. Singapore: Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-4491-0.

Published

2025-09-11

How to Cite

Popov, D. S., & Voronina, N. S. (2025). Crisis Volatility of Human Capital and Student Achievement in Russia: Evidence from International Education Research. Monitoring of Public Opinion: Economic and Social Changes, (4), 138–162. https://doi.org/10.14515/monitoring.2025.4.2758

Issue

Section

SOCIOLOGY OF EDUCATION